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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.68vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+3.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.87vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-0.53vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-3.89vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.99University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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4.11Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.83Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 31.7% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 19.9% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Corey Hall | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% |
| Christine Porter | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 26.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.