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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+6.49vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+4.42vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+3.14vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16+5.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+2.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+0.25vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-1.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-3.50vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.58vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.63-0.89vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.60vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.01+0.67vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.92-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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14.67Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 1.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 31.4% | 4.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 2.9% |
| John Colby | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 89.6% |
| Max Clapp | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.