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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+5.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+4.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+2.36vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+1.70vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+1.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84-0.03vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.82-0.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-2.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63+1.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.72vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.82-4.67vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-5.54vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.01+0.67vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.16-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.36Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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14.67Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 29.3% | 5.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 22.0% | 3.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.7% | 89.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.