Race 9B

2019-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Bitney 10.1% 9.4% 10.4% 8.7% 9.6% 10.1% 8.0% 8.9% 9.7% 6.6% 4.9% 3.4% 0.2%
Spencer Cartwright 12.7% 12.3% 12.0% 11.1% 10.1% 9.8% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Dylan DiMarchi 8.1% 9.3% 11.4% 9.7% 9.4% 9.8% 8.7% 10.4% 6.8% 8.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Clayton Snyder 4.9% 4.6% 5.3% 5.8% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.7% 11.4% 12.1% 13.6% 1.6%
Brendan Read 9.3% 11.0% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 6.6% 8.6% 11.3% 8.2% 6.7% 6.6% 3.9% 0.1%
John Mastrandrea 8.7% 8.1% 7.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.4% 9.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 7.6% 6.4% 0.3%
Henry Burnes 11.8% 9.8% 9.3% 9.8% 9.3% 10.9% 7.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 4.5% 2.9% 0.2%
Thomas Harden 9.8% 8.8% 10.3% 10.3% 9.4% 7.6% 10.7% 9.8% 7.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.8% 0.2%
Ted Bjerregaard 3.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 8.7% 11.7% 14.9% 26.9% 2.9%
Dana Haig 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 8.8% 6.7% 10.3% 8.4% 7.9% 5.6% 0.4%
Matt Logue 8.1% 10.4% 9.3% 10.0% 8.0% 9.4% 10.0% 9.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% 3.7% 0.4%
Liam Ballantyne 3.3% 3.9% 3.4% 3.8% 6.5% 5.9% 6.1% 5.8% 7.3% 11.3% 17.6% 22.3% 2.8%
John Colby 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 3.7% 90.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.