Race 6C

2019-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adrian van der Wal 7.4% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 5.6% 7.6% 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 8.4% 6.5% 9.6% 7.4% 5.9% 1.3%
Sam Morrell 11.6% 13.5% 10.6% 9.9% 10.7% 8.1% 7.7% 6.0% 7.0% 4.7% 4.6% 2.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 14.1% 12.8% 11.2% 10.7% 10.6% 8.3% 7.2% 7.3% 6.3% 4.7% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Simmons 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 7.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 6.4% 7.4% 6.2% 7.5% 5.2% 3.4% 0.8%
Luke Ingalls 9.9% 10.6% 7.7% 10.6% 8.3% 8.2% 9.9% 6.7% 7.6% 5.6% 5.3% 4.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Alex Fasolo 8.2% 7.6% 8.4% 6.8% 8.3% 9.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 7.0% 7.0% 4.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.2%
Cameron Nash 5.8% 4.9% 5.4% 4.6% 6.4% 6.8% 6.2% 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 10.1% 9.1% 8.5% 7.5% 1.6%
Cameron Wood 6.8% 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 5.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.6% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 7.1% 7.5% 5.0% 0.7%
James Peraire-Bueno 2.7% 3.1% 3.9% 4.0% 3.4% 5.0% 5.7% 5.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.5% 10.8% 11.6% 17.0% 3.9%
Richie Gordon 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.6% 6.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 10.7% 11.2% 1.9%
Cameron Feves 7.0% 8.7% 8.7% 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1% 7.3% 7.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.0%
Tucker Weed 5.8% 4.6% 7.6% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.0% 4.7% 0.6%
Christophe Chaumont 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 5.3% 3.7% 3.5% 5.3% 5.1% 4.3% 8.2% 9.4% 14.1% 24.1% 5.5%
Tucker Hersam 6.0% 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 6.0% 8.1% 6.9% 8.4% 7.8% 8.8% 7.4% 6.9% 6.2% 0.7%
Niall Shannon 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 6.6% 81.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.