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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+3.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.92vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+1.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-2.34vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-1.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-2.92vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.61-1.60vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.06College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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2.66Georgetown University4.510.4%1st Place
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4.98University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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5.8Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| Corey Hall | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 35.1% | 22.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.9% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Christine Porter | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 27.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.