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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+3.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.63+3.88vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.62+3.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.06-0.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.67+3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23+0.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.40-1.21vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-1.95vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-4.24vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-4.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.98vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.72+0.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.50-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.11Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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14.46Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 9.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Simmons | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 1.8% |
| Sam Morrell | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 3.4% |
| Dane Brazinski | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 84.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.