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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+6.75vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+7.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+3.64vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.14+8.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.24+4.68vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.18vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-1.30vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.50vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.75-7.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-5.91vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.56-8.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.14-7.69vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.45-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.68University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.7Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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15.15Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gray Benson | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 8.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Augie Dale | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.