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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.16+8.44vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.62vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+5.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.43vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75-0.22vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.56-0.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.14+0.20vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-3.28vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.53-3.99vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.99vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.49-2.36vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.45+0.21vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-3.05vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.67vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.80-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.49Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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15.21Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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13.33SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Augie Dale | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Romain Screve | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Andy Reiter | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Gray Benson | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Tom O'Shea | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 42.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.