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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+3.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51-0.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+0.01vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.39-0.26vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.90-0.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.08vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22-2.85vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.61-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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2.67Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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4.01Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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4.74Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.83Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.15College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krysta Rohde | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
| Sydney Bolger | 32.4% | 23.1% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| Corey Hall | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Christine Porter | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.