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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+7.03vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.56+5.85vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+6.59vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+5.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+2.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.36vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-1.43vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.75-2.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.14-1.41vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-1.33vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-4.80vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44-0.54vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.28vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.49-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.85Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.59Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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15.46SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Romain Screve | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 14.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 49.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Gray Benson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.