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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+8.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.49vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75+2.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+4.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.33vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-2.95vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.53-1.25vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-0.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.30vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-3.98vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-1.30vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-6.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-7.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.49-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.67Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.02Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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15.38SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Augie Dale | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Romain Screve | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 47.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Gray Benson | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.