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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+6.88vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+7.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.33vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+5.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.49vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+1.69vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75-0.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.25vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.53-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.14-1.49vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.35vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-2.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-5.02vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.24-2.05vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-8.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.83vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.66Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.25Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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15.29SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Augie Dale | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Andy Reiter | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Gray Benson | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.