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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+3.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.05vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.60+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.70-0.11vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.02+0.43vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-3.04vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.81-3.19vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.94-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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5.14Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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4.89University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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6.43Old Dominion University2.020.0%1st Place
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3.96College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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4.81Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Wisconsin1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 14.7% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 7.5% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% |
| Hillary Noble | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Arianna Baker | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 25.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.