← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.07+7.30vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+8.67vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.20+9.02vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.47vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.39+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.94+2.59vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.82+2.17vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.71+1.57vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.37-2.19vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College2.05+2.54vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.30-3.68vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.78vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.13-5.29vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.65-4.41vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.70vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-8.09vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.87-3.80vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy2.15-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.3Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
-
12.02Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
-
7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
6.81Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.59Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
9.17Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.57Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.81College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
12.54SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.32Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
-
8.22University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.71Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.59University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
-
13.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
-
7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
13.2Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.79U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| William Logue | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% |
| Cole Harris | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Luke Welker | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 23.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.