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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.70+3.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+1.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.36vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.81-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.94+0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.96vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.60-2.78vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.02-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.24University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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4.02College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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5.22Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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6.47Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Hillary Noble | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 16.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.9% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 28.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Arianna Baker | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.