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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.06vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.94+6.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+5.31vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+2.84vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.30+2.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.80vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.15+2.97vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.23vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.20+0.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.19vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.71-3.54vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.87-1.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.70vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.62vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.13-8.96vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.65-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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11.9Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.7Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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12.38SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cole Harris | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| Luke Welker | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 22.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.