Race 1A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Bisson 30.0% 23.7% 15.9% 12.6% 8.8% 5.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Chris Trentham 12.3% 15.0% 15.0% 15.9% 15.7% 13.1% 7.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Edgard Sanchez 8.8% 8.6% 10.3% 11.4% 14.4% 20.8% 15.4% 7.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Daniel Sullivan 10.6% 12.2% 15.4% 16.1% 16.5% 13.8% 9.1% 5.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Christopher Magno 18.2% 17.9% 18.8% 17.3% 12.2% 8.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Nina Van De Vaarst 14.9% 16.3% 15.4% 15.7% 14.7% 12.6% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
James Giebel 1.3% 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 5.0% 6.0% 14.0% 28.1% 24.9% 14.4%
Robert Cathell 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.6% 4.9% 10.6% 16.8% 29.6% 28.5%
Cala Coffman 2.1% 3.6% 4.8% 4.4% 7.3% 11.3% 22.2% 21.5% 16.8% 6.0%
Clara Bartram 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 3.7% 5.2% 12.5% 23.4% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.