Race 4A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Trentham 14.8% 17.1% 16.0% 15.7% 15.4% 12.9% 4.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Christopher Magno 19.8% 19.9% 19.2% 17.4% 12.1% 6.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Edgard Sanchez 8.3% 10.5% 12.4% 12.2% 19.0% 17.6% 12.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Nina Van De Vaarst 15.8% 15.4% 20.3% 16.7% 14.6% 9.7% 5.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Michael Bisson 30.3% 26.4% 15.9% 14.7% 7.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
James Giebel 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 6.1% 7.9% 16.2% 20.9% 21.7% 15.8%
Robert Cathell 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 7.8% 9.9% 18.0% 28.8% 26.8%
Cala Coffman 3.1% 3.0% 5.1% 6.8% 9.7% 14.1% 19.9% 20.0% 13.2% 5.1%
Elizabeth Bailey 3.7% 3.9% 5.7% 8.1% 10.8% 16.2% 19.8% 16.6% 12.2% 3.0%
Clara Bartram 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 6.7% 12.9% 21.0% 48.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.