Race 5A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Bisson 29.4% 23.3% 17.5% 12.0% 7.8% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 17.3% 20.0% 16.2% 14.9% 14.1% 10.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Sullivan 11.3% 11.7% 12.9% 16.2% 16.2% 15.9% 10.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Nina Van De Vaarst 13.6% 14.8% 16.4% 18.1% 14.6% 12.3% 6.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Edgard Sanchez 9.6% 9.1% 11.1% 12.4% 15.1% 18.1% 15.1% 6.8% 2.0% 0.7%
Robert Cathell 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 5.2% 9.8% 17.7% 29.4% 28.1%
James Giebel 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 3.6% 4.3% 6.7% 13.6% 26.9% 24.2% 16.2%
Cala Coffman 2.9% 2.9% 5.0% 5.1% 7.3% 10.4% 20.5% 24.3% 15.7% 5.9%
Clara Bartram 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 3.0% 6.6% 10.9% 25.3% 48.9%
Chris Trentham 12.5% 14.8% 16.2% 14.5% 15.7% 11.7% 10.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.