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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+3.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.14vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.60+2.31vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.70+0.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.94+0.56vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.02-0.50vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.81-3.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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4.14College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.31Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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6.5Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.6% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 21.4% | 20.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 27.2% |
| Arianna Baker | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 29.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.