← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina0.22+1.02vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.03+0.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Georgia-1.02+0.80vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-0.11vs Predicted
-
5University of Tennessee-1.90-0.04vs Predicted
-
6Davidson College-1.97-0.89vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology-2.59-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02University of North Carolina0.2241.8%1st Place
-
2.43Clemson University-0.0329.2%1st Place
-
3.8University of Georgia-1.029.4%1st Place
-
3.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.569.5%1st Place
-
4.96University of Tennessee-1.904.6%1st Place
-
5.11Davidson College-1.973.4%1st Place
-
5.78Georgia Institute of Technology-2.592.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 41.8% | 30.2% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Cameron | 29.2% | 28.8% | 21.8% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 9.4% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 4.1% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 5.1% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 4.6% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 26.0% | 19.3% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 25.2% | 23.6% |
| Matthew Xu | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.