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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+0.99vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-0.17+0.54vs Predicted
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3American University-1.27+1.15vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.26+0.17vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.96+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.21-0.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-2.33-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Syracuse University0.280.4%1st Place
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2.54Rutgers University-0.170.3%1st Place
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4.15American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.17Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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5.25Princeton University-1.960.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 44.0% | 28.3% | 16.8% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 25.9% | 30.4% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cala Coffman | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| David Fehrle | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Evan Trauger | 4.5% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 11.6% |
| Robert Cathell | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| Clara Bartram | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.9% | 41.1% |
| Katherine Crawford | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 22.6% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.