Race 3B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Derek Safieh 47.9% 26.0% 15.0% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Lane 17.9% 22.3% 23.2% 16.7% 11.0% 5.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucas Fox 5.1% 7.1% 8.9% 12.0% 14.9% 18.1% 16.0% 12.0% 5.1% 0.8%
Yanni Tsetsekos 7.0% 14.1% 14.4% 19.5% 18.3% 13.0% 8.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Natalie Lovelace 5.7% 6.9% 9.9% 12.2% 16.1% 18.3% 14.4% 11.6% 3.9% 1.0%
Duncan Feighan 11.9% 17.1% 18.9% 18.9% 14.6% 11.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Simone Woolley 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 4.5% 6.0% 10.0% 16.0% 20.9% 20.4% 16.9%
Austin Weigel 1.2% 2.0% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 9.7% 12.7% 19.8% 21.5% 19.5%
Andrew Cater 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 4.0% 6.5% 11.8% 14.3% 24.8% 31.5%
Ernest Ruehl 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 5.6% 6.2% 12.4% 15.6% 22.2% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.