Race 4B

delaware-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Veronica Lane 20.7% 23.2% 20.3% 15.5% 10.5% 6.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Derek Safieh 46.9% 27.7% 15.5% 7.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Feighan 12.0% 13.3% 21.5% 17.8% 15.6% 12.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Natalie Lovelace 3.6% 7.3% 10.7% 11.7% 17.8% 16.1% 16.2% 10.3% 4.9% 1.4%
Lucas Fox 5.1% 8.5% 7.6% 12.4% 14.9% 20.0% 16.2% 9.8% 4.2% 1.3%
Andrew Cater 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.6% 5.8% 10.8% 16.5% 22.7% 31.8%
Austin Weigel 1.1% 1.1% 2.8% 3.5% 7.1% 7.9% 14.0% 20.4% 23.1% 19.0%
Simone Woolley 1.4% 2.3% 3.2% 4.9% 7.2% 10.7% 13.9% 18.7% 21.6% 16.1%
Ernest Ruehl 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 6.3% 13.4% 17.1% 21.1% 30.1%
Yanni Tsetsekos 7.5% 13.2% 14.0% 20.2% 16.6% 13.7% 8.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.