Race 4B

charleston-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Lucas 16.8% 15.6% 12.8% 15.9% 12.4% 10.1% 7.4% 6.6% 2.4%
Hillary Noble 7.3% 9.4% 11.2% 10.6% 12.5% 14.5% 13.2% 12.3% 9.0%
Genoa Warner 14.2% 14.3% 15.5% 12.1% 12.4% 11.0% 10.1% 7.2% 3.2%
Lauren Burke 11.9% 12.5% 11.4% 12.2% 12.0% 13.2% 11.5% 9.4% 5.9%
Killian Corbishley 11.3% 11.0% 12.4% 11.3% 11.9% 10.2% 11.2% 11.3% 9.4%
Jennifer Proctor 18.1% 18.9% 15.1% 14.5% 11.7% 9.3% 7.3% 3.5% 1.6%
Mary Cummins 4.8% 3.7% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 10.0% 12.8% 19.4% 29.8%
Lara Dallman-Weiss 9.8% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 11.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.5% 10.7%
Arianna Baker 5.8% 5.0% 5.6% 6.8% 8.8% 9.2% 14.0% 16.8% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.