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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.45+0.71vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-1.33+2.17vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.22+0.88vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.81+0.70vs Predicted
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5American University-0.92-1.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.96+0.50vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.93-2.02vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-3.41-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-5.35-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71University of Maryland0.450.6%1st Place
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4.17Princeton University-1.330.1%1st Place
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3.88Drexel University-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.7Syracuse University-1.810.1%1st Place
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3.32American University-0.920.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.98Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.08Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Delaware-5.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Safieh | 56.9% | 24.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schochet | 6.4% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 8.4% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Fox | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Feighan | 14.9% | 23.0% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 29.8% | 30.3% | 3.9% |
| Justin Harler | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Cater | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 20.8% | 44.7% | 11.0% |
| Emily Shields | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.