← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland0.45+0.62vs Predicted
-
2American University-0.92+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-1.81+1.35vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-1.33-0.37vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-1.93-0.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-2.97+0.09vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-3.41-0.29vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62University of Maryland0.450.6%1st Place
-
3.04American University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.35Syracuse University-1.810.1%1st Place
-
3.63Princeton University-1.330.1%1st Place
-
4.55Virginia Tech-1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Delaware-2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.71Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
-
6.02U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Safieh | 59.6% | 24.9% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Feighan | 14.6% | 26.9% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Fox | 6.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Noah Schochet | 9.0% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Justin Harler | 5.6% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Damien Hollyday | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| Andrew Cater | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 21.9% | 46.4% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 27.6% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.