Race 1A

maisa-spring-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Olivia Windemuller 5.9% 9.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.2% 9.5% 9.3% 8.3% 8.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Riley Legault 13.2% 12.6% 12.6% 11.0% 8.4% 9.2% 8.9% 6.8% 5.7% 5.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Haddon Hughes 10.4% 6.9% 9.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.5% 8.9% 9.2% 9.9% 7.2% 3.4% 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 7.2% 6.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Howie 5.9% 5.1% 7.7% 6.1% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 12.2% 11.9% 11.2% 11.0% 10.2% 9.9% 8.8% 7.6% 5.3% 5.1% 3.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Carter 11.5% 9.4% 10.1% 11.5% 8.3% 9.2% 8.7% 9.2% 7.6% 6.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie Ungar 8.3% 8.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 8.6% 7.3% 9.5% 7.6% 6.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 13.9% 12.6% 12.8% 9.4% 11.0% 8.7% 8.5% 6.6% 5.4% 6.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 7.6% 10.9% 19.1% 19.3% 13.7% 6.6%
Anna Patterson 3.4% 3.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.1% 4.8% 5.2% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 11.5% 14.0% 11.3% 8.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Liliana Loosbrock 3.2% 4.5% 4.0% 3.8% 5.6% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 8.1% 9.4% 10.8% 12.5% 10.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Katarina Catallo 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 3.9% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.2% 10.1% 15.5% 13.4% 13.3% 6.6% 2.5%
Julia Howard-Flanders 0.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.3% 1.5% 2.9% 5.2% 7.1% 12.0% 17.0% 23.7% 21.9%
Abigail Proko 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 5.0% 8.0% 14.6% 25.3% 34.2%
Micayla Beyer 0.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 4.0% 4.6% 8.9% 15.4% 23.9% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.