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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+4.08vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.07vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+5.12vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+0.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.46+0.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.39vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-0.75vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-2.04vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.94vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-2.51vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.16+0.36vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.98-3.51vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-1.11vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.12Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.14Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.25Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.96Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.91SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.49Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.36Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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13.89Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 24.6% | 22.3% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 25.3% | 33.6% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.