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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.10+3.34vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.70+2.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.26vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.02+1.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.92vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.94-1.32vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.60-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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4.31College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University2.020.0%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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3.9Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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6.68University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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5.38Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 18.5% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Arianna Baker | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 28.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 16.3% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 32.5% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.