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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.02vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.46+3.06vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+1.24vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+2.07vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.60vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-1.75vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.59vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.35+0.47vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.52-1.00vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.84vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-4.67vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42+0.85vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.22vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.98-4.33vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.16-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.24George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.07Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.25Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.47Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.0Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.84SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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13.85Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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13.44Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 12.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Grace Howie | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 24.6% | 32.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 31.7% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.