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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+5.88vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.02vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+1.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.58vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77-0.80vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.46-0.87vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49+3.79vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-1.68vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.98-0.49vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-3.00vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.49vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.16-0.69vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-1.09vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.26George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.2Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.79SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.32Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.59Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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9.0Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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13.31Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.91Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haddon Hughes | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Grace Howie | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 21.7% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 23.9% | 34.7% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.