Race 8A

maisa-spring-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Ellie Ungar 7.5% 8.9% 9.4% 8.4% 8.6% 9.8% 8.6% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 6.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 9.1% 8.1% 6.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 13.8% 10.2% 10.5% 12.5% 10.1% 10.2% 9.2% 8.4% 5.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% 7.2% 8.8% 6.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 12.5% 13.5% 11.7% 10.8% 10.8% 8.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.9% 4.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Carter 10.2% 9.6% 12.1% 10.8% 8.9% 11.0% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 5.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 3.9% 3.2% 2.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.3% 5.9% 5.2% 7.3% 8.6% 11.6% 12.9% 13.2% 8.3% 2.9% 1.1%
Liliana Loosbrock 3.4% 4.3% 3.9% 5.0% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 8.8% 8.1% 8.9% 11.7% 10.1% 10.5% 6.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Riley Legault 12.5% 12.5% 12.6% 10.3% 9.5% 9.8% 8.2% 6.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.7% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Haddon Hughes 9.2% 8.4% 8.5% 8.2% 11.0% 9.1% 9.7% 9.8% 9.0% 6.7% 4.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Grace Howie 7.6% 6.9% 5.7% 6.0% 8.9% 6.3% 7.8% 8.4% 8.2% 11.1% 9.2% 6.7% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Katarina Catallo 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.6% 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 9.5% 13.8% 13.6% 12.3% 8.3% 2.8%
Clara Guarascio 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 2.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 11.8% 17.3% 17.7% 13.5% 7.3%
Julia Howard-Flanders 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 4.9% 7.5% 11.0% 18.8% 22.2% 22.2%
Abigail Proko 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 4.9% 9.0% 15.0% 24.7% 33.8%
Micayla Beyer 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.9% 5.5% 8.2% 15.3% 24.1% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.