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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+4.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.48vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.54vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+3.19vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52+4.01vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76-1.76vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.49+3.74vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.35+0.50vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.81vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-4.92vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.98-1.46vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.80-8.01vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.16-0.71vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-7.54vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.42-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.01Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.24George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.74SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.5Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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4.99U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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13.29Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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13.95Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 25.4% | 32.7% |
| Haddon Hughes | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 23.1% | 21.2% |
| Grace Howie | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.