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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+5.76vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+2.93vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.27vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.98+5.43vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.95vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.20vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-0.27vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.79vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-3.83vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.69-3.80vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-3.71vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.25vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.16-1.61vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.42-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.93Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.73Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.79SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.2Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.29Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.39Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.88Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Riley Legault | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
| Grace Howie | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 25.0% | 30.2% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 24.5% | 23.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.