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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.88vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+4.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.38vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+1.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.04vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.35+2.39vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98+2.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.13vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-2.81vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.52-2.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.68vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49-1.25vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-0.23vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.14vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.16-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.78Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.39Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.75Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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13.77Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.37Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 13.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 24.2% | 33.5% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.