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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.02+5.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10+0.22vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.60+0.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.90vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.70-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.94-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.3College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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4.22Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.22Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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3.9Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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5.14University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Wisconsin1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arianna Baker | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 28.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 17.4% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Hillary Noble | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Mary Cummins | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.