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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.03+3.86vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+3.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+0.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.83vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-1.84vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.51vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73-2.28vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.24+2.18vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.06+0.34vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.61+0.97vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.67+0.07vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-5.56vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.81-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.23Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.16George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.18Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.34Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.97Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.07SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.49Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 13.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 9.9% |
| Emily Key | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Alison Reed | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 20.7% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| Katie Purcell | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.