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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.73vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.65vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+2.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03+0.98vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-0.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73-0.13vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.99vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50-4.36vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.24+2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.82-1.76vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-0.62vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.67+0.09vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.81-0.67vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.09vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.61-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.1George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.87Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.64Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.14Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.38Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.09SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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13.33Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.05Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Katie Purcell | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 25.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| Alison Reed | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.