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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+3.85vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+3.53vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+3.16vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+0.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.39vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.03-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.25vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.68vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.71vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-0.73vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.24-0.97vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.92-0.55vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.81-1.66vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.67-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.53Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.16Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.7Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.27Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.03Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.45Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.34Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.04SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.4% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.8% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.3% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 27.0% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 24.7% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.