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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+3.46vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+1.89vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+1.19vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03-0.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73-0.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-2.50vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.06vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.67vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.92+2.44vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-0.71vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.81+0.29vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.31vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.67-1.96vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.24-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.89George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.5Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.44Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.29Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.29Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.04SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.1Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 14.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 28.8% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 23.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.