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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+3.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.57vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.06+8.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.03vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+6.93vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.81+6.42vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.82+1.35vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.61+3.86vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.27vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24+1.12vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-5.08vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.91-6.66vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-8.89vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-9.77vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.67-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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11.43Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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12.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.42Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.86Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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12.12Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.34Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.23George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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13.19SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 16.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Key | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 20.7% | 26.8% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alison Reed | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.