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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+3.69vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.13vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.24+9.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.70vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+0.15vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.96vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.03-2.06vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.48vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-4.62vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-0.63vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.61-0.04vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.18vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.67-1.82vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.81-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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12.13Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.15George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.94Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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11.37Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.96Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.18SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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13.46Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 9.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 13.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Key | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Alison Reed | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.