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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.84vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.59vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+0.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03+1.03vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.24+6.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-1.81vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.26vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.41vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91-3.60vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.82-1.65vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.75vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.81+0.36vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.92-0.48vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.67-1.89vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.06-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.85Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.15Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.19George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.4Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.36Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.52Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.11SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 16.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 8.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 24.3% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 27.4% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| Emily Key | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.