← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.89vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.03+2.98vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.91+2.48vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.35+0.17vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.73+0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia0.82+2.37vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.41vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.50-4.22vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.36vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University-0.92+2.47vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.06-0.63vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-0.81+0.29vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.67-1.02vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.19vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University-0.24-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.89University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.98Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.48Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
5.17George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.94Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
9.37University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
4.78Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.64U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
13.47Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.37Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
13.29Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.98SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
-
12.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.17Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
| Emily Key | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 23.1% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 15.8% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.