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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+3.08vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.60+3.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10-0.80vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.94-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.70-2.89vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.02-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
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5.56Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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5.19U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.2%1st Place
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4.2Yale University3.100.2%1st Place
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3.87Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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5.11University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 16.9% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Genoa Warner | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 31.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.6% |
| Arianna Baker | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.