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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.84vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.82+5.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.39vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+0.55vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73-0.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-1.76vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-3.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.30vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.61+1.89vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.67+1.11vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.06-1.60vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.81-0.69vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.11vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.24-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.55Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.24Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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12.89Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.11SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.4Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.31Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.22Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 13.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Reed | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| Emily Key | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.6% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 26.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.