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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.64vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+0.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+0.09vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+0.39vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73-0.09vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-1.64vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.86vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.54vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.67+2.04vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06-0.59vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.61-0.06vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.81-0.65vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.11vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.24-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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4.81Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.91Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.04SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.41Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.94Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.35Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.25Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 15.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 21.5% |
| Emily Key | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Alison Reed | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 26.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.