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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.49vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+2.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+2.08vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.68vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86-0.44vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-1.79vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73-2.23vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.06+1.36vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.81+2.26vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.79vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.82-3.69vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.92-0.49vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.67-1.93vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.24-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.08George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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6.56Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.36Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.26Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.51Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.07SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.13Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 13.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Key | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 23.6% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 28.2% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 19.4% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.