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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+3.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.51vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+2.06vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.21vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+1.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+0.90vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.82-0.51vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.61+1.90vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.67+1.11vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.06-1.59vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.81-0.66vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.09vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.24-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.06George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.41Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.9Drexel University-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.11SUNY Maritime College-0.670.0%1st Place
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11.41Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.34Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.2Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 12.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.0% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Alison Reed | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| Katherine Mooney | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| Emily Key | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 26.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.